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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-460).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +370.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Mark Andrews slots into the 89th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 36.2 figure this year.
  • Mark Andrews's 85.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 81.8% mark.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 0.40 per game through the air (92nd percentile), Mark Andrews rates as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs this year.
  • The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.
  • While Mark Andrews has accounted for 33.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Baltimore's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 21.1%.
  • Mark Andrews has notched far fewer air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

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