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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-315).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -315.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to air yards, Mark Andrews ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a superb 42.0 per game.

Mark Andrews has been in the 88th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 35.2 figure since the start of last season.

Mark Andrews grades out in the 100th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Chiefs pass defense has yielded a monstrous 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.5% red zone run rate.

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.

While Mark Andrews has accounted for 37.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Baltimore's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 20.9%.

Since the start of last season, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed a measly 0.25 passing TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

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