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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Mark Andrews has put up a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Mark Andrews rates in the 85th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 34.3 figure since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (46.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

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