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Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-240).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.With an exceptional 25.4% Red Zone Target% (94th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football.Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 84th percentile for tight ends.With a stellar rate of 0.29 per game through the air (80th percentile), Mark Andrews ranks as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among tight ends this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.At the present time, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in football in the red zone (49.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Ravens.The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.Mark Andrews has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
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