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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-425).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +385 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +390.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.
  • Mark Andrews places in the 84th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a superb 35.8 mark this year.
  • With a terrific ratio of 0.31 per game through the air (85th percentile), Mark Andrews has been as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football among tight ends this year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.67 per game) versus the Packers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 49.3% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (51.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Ravens.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 121.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Ravens have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.
  • While Mark Andrews has accounted for 26.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 20.7%.

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