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Mark Andrews
NFL · Player Props
Mark Andrews
TE · Baltimore Ravens
Touchdowns
Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots · Week 16, 2025 Updated Dec 22, 2025 1:12 AM EST
NFL Props Mark Andrews Touchdowns

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-176).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +156.

Favors Over
  • With a top-tier 26.4% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews places among the TEs with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • Mark Andrews's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews grades out in the 86th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.33 per game.
  • This year, the shaky Patriots defense has conceded a massive 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-worst rate in football.
  • This year, the daunting Patriots run defense has allowed a paltry 0.50 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.
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