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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+148/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 26.9% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Mark Andrews ranks in the 82nd percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 34.9 figure this year.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.36 per game through the air (87th percentile), Mark Andrews has been among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most TDs through the air in football to TEs: 1.15 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Mark Andrews has compiled far fewer air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

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