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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-196).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +184 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 26.8% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews's 36.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for TEs.
  • Mark Andrews ranks in the 88th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.38 per game.
  • This year, the poor Steelers pass defense has conceded a colossal 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most run-oriented team in football in the red zone (48.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Mark Andrews has posted quite a few less air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

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