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Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+136/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Mark Andrews's 37.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 85th percentile for tight ends.

With an excellent rate of 0.45 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Mark Andrews ranks as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in football among TEs this year.

This year, the porous New York Jets defense has given up a colossal 0.70 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

After totaling 44.0 air yards per game last year, Mark Andrews has produced significantly fewer this year, currently averaging 32.0 per game.

More Mark Andrews Player Props

Mark Andrews TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12