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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+164/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Mark Andrews's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for TEs.
  • Mark Andrews grades out in the 89th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.40 per game.
  • This year, the feeble Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a whopping 0.62 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Right now, the 5th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's game (19.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (26.1% in games he has played).

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