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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Mark Andrews to accumulate 4.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews rates in the 85th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 34.3 figure since the start of last season.

With an impressive 3.1 adjusted catches per game (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews stands as one of the top TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (68.0%).

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