My Account Log Out
 
 
Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • The model projects Mark Andrews to accumulate 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 84th percentile for tight ends.
  • The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.1%) to tight ends this year (81.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.
  • The Ravens O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 81.8% to 74.5%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™