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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.
  • With an exceptional 16.6% Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews places among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 49.3% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 121.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Ravens have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
  • Mark Andrews's 72.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a meaningful drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 81.8% mark.

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