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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Mark Andrews to earn 5.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 16.4% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Mark Andrews's 73.3% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a remarkable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 81.8% mark.

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