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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • In this game, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projections to rank in the 85th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets.
  • With a sizeable 17.3% Target% (84th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews places as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.
  • This year, the poor Steelers pass defense has conceded a colossal 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Mark Andrews's 73.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a substantial decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 81.8% rate.

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