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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Mark Andrews is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among TEs with 4.7 targets.
  • Mark Andrews slots into the 86th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 36.3 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.1 per game) this year.

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