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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.

In this week's game, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.

Mark Andrews ranks in the 88th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 37.5 figure last year.

With a fantastic 3.3 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) last year, Mark Andrews stands among the top pass-game tight ends in the league.

Mark Andrews has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a terrific 81.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

The Bills pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.8%) to TEs last year (72.8%).

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