Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 27, 2022 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 9.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack this season (33.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (26.6%).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
Mark Andrews's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.1% to 67.8%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 8th-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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