Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Mark Andrews has run fewer routes this season (94.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (84.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to notch 8.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews's play as a receiver has declined this year, notching a measly 4.9 yards per game compared to 6.4 last year.
Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 73.1% to 65.8%.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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