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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Mark Andrews to earn 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 16.4% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
  • This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a staggering 97.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the worst in the league.
  • This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 9.92 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 50.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Mark Andrews has compiled far fewer air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Mark Andrews has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).

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