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Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-120/-108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.The predictive model expects Mark Andrews to earn 5.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.With an exceptional 17.0% Target Share (85th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews rates among the TEs with the most usage in the league.The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (91.0) to tight ends this year.This year, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a whopping 9.86 yards.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Mark Andrews has seen a big decline this year, now sitting at 31.0 per game.When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.
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