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Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-140/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.In this week's game, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.4 targets.When it comes to air yards, Mark Andrews ranks in the towering 94th percentile among TEs last year, accruing a massive 44.0 per game.Mark Andrews ranks in the 88th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 37.5 figure last year.Mark Andrews profiles as one of the best tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging a stellar 40.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.Mark Andrews has been one of the weakest TEs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 12th percentile.Last year, the tough Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.6 yards.The Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 7th-fewest in football.
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