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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Mark Andrews has run a route on 93.3% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
  • Mark Andrews has accumulated a monstrous 77.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 49.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • Mark Andrews's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 65.7% to 62.1%.
  • Mark Andrews's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, totaling just 6.05 yards-per-target vs a 7.76 figure last season.

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