Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Andrews has gone out for fewer passes this year (94.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (84.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has compiled a colossal 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
Mark Andrews has notched significantly fewer receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).
Mark Andrews's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 67.0%.

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