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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-335).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +265 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Raiders defense has been gouged for the 5th-most passing touchdowns in football: 1.68 per game since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Las Vegas Raiders run defense has conceded a paltry 0.74 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 46.8% red zone run rate.

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