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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-440).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -455 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -440.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • The Eagles safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (48.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
  • The projections expect Marcus Mariota to attempt 32.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.
  • While Marcus Mariota has received 13.6% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Washington's run game near the goal line in this week's contest at 20.0%.
  • Marcus Mariota's throwing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 76.3% to 62.1%.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in football.

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