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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-425).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +415 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +415.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
  • While Marcus Mariota has received 11.8% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Washington's running game near the goal line in this week's game at 21.0%.
  • Marcus Mariota's 65.2% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive decline in his passing accuracy over last season's 76.3% mark.
  • Marcus Mariota has rushed for 0.17 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football when it comes to QBs (75th percentile).

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