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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-280/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • The Eagles safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 51.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect Marcus Mariota to attempt 32.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Marcus Mariota's throwing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 76.3% to 62.1%.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in football.
  • This year, the stout Eagles defense has surrendered a meager 0.93 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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