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Marcus Mariota TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Marcus Mariota TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-280/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 49.4% red zone pass rate.

The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.

In racking up a feeble 24.2 pass attempts per game this year, Marcus Mariota slots in among the bottom QBs in football (22nd percentile) in this regard.

Marcus Mariota's 65.2% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive decline in his passing accuracy over last season's 76.3% mark.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football against the Denver Broncos defense this year (64.7% Adjusted Completion%).

More Marcus Mariota Player Props

Marcus Mariota TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Marcus Mariota TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13