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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Commanders to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.3 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Marcus Mariota to accumulate 6.6 rush attempts this week, on average: the 7th-most out of all QBs.

The Falcons defense has produced the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, giving up 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 44.5% of their downs: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of safeties has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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