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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-most run-focused team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.1% run rate.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • The projections expect Marcus Mariota to accrue 6.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Our trusted projections expect Marcus Mariota to be a more important option in his offense's running game in this contest (21.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).
  • Marcus Mariota has grinded out 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to QBs (87th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • The Eagles defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

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