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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The projections expect Marcus Mariota to accumulate 5.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • With a stellar total of 32.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (89th percentile), Marcus Mariota rates among the leading rushing QBs in football this year.
  • Marcus Mariota's 6.85 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a meaningful improvement in his running skills over last season's 5.90 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 29.34 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.

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