My Account Log Out
 
 
Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.2% run rate.
  • In this week's contest, Marcus Mariota is projected by the predictive model to notch the 9th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 2.8.
  • While Marcus Mariota has been responsible for 15.5% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Washington's run game in this game at 9.4%.
  • With an exceptional record of 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (95th percentile), Marcus Mariota ranks as one of the top rushing quarterbacks in football this year.
  • Marcus Mariota's running efficiency has been refined this season, notching 7.10 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.90 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Marcus Mariota in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™