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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-112/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 6th-most run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.2% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • In this game, Marcus Mariota is expected by our trusted projection set to garner the 4th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 7.6.
  • While Marcus Mariota has been responsible for 13.2% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Washington's run game in this week's contest at 28.2%.
  • With an excellent tally of 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), Marcus Mariota stands as one of the top running QBs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • This year, the imposing Lions run defense has surrendered a mere 93.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 9th-fewest in the league.
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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