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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 194.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 191.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 194.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup QB Marcus Mariota in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are giant underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the deficient Chiefs defense has surrendered a colossal 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.7 plays per game.
  • This week, Marcus Mariota is forecasted by the model to have the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.7.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.
  • Marcus Mariota's 58.7% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a meaningful reduction in his passing precision over last season's 76.3% figure.

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