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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 200.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • Marcus Mariota's passing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 63.0%.
  • Marcus Mariota's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 7.01 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.79 mark last season.
  • This year, the fierce Lions defense has conceded a meager 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.98 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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