Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 197.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a giant 10-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Marcus Mariota has passed for a lot more yards per game (197.0) this year than he did last year (1.0).
Marcus Mariota has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a stellar 7.96 yards-per-target while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 33.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
Marcus Mariota has been among the least on-target QBs in the NFL this year with a 57.2% Completion%, ranking in the 9th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 9th-least yards in football (just 210.0 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.

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