My Account Log Out
 
 
Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-250/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Marcus Mariota in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Vikings safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Marcus Mariota's 63.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his passing accuracy over last year's 76.3% rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™