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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Commanders to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.3 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Marcus Mariota to accumulate 6.6 rush attempts this week, on average: the 7th-most out of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 44.5% of their downs: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of safeties has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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