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Malik Willis

Malik Willis TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Malik Willis TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-294/+220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -278 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -294.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • With a 48.1% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football in this setting has been the Packers.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Malik Willis to throw 28.0 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • This year, the tough Ravens defense has allowed a feeble 1.40 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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