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Malik Willis

Malik Willis Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

Malik Willis Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4 points.

The model projects the Packers to be the 10th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Malik Willis is anticipated by the predictive model to accrue the 8th-most carries out of all QBs with 6.5.

While Malik Willis has garnered 7.8% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Green Bay's ground game in this game at 23.3%.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Indianapolis Colts run defense has conceded a staggering 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Green Bay Packers since the start of last season (a mere 56.7 per game on average).

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