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Malik Willis

Malik Willis Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Willis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 152.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 148.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 152.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers will be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to pass on 49.3% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Malik Willis to attempt 28.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

The Titans defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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