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Malik Washington

Malik Washington Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Malik Washington Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 8-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's group of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Dolphins this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.9 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

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