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Malik Heath Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Heath Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-1750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.8%) vs. WRs this year (69.8%).

This year, the strong Steelers run defense has surrendered a measly 0.67 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 10th-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.5% red zone run rate.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Malik Heath places among the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

Malik Heath has totaled a puny 8.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Malik Heath's 4.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) grades out among the worst in the league: 12th percentile for wideouts.

More Malik Heath Player Props

Malik Heath TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Heath Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8