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Malik Heath

Malik Heath Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Malik Heath Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+880/-990).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +900 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +880.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Malik Heath to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (5.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers rank as the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.1% red zone run rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Malik Heath has put up a measly 7.0 air yards per game this year: just 17th percentile among wideouts.
  • Malik Heath has been in just the 12th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a bad 6.1 figure this year.
  • Malik Heath ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

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