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Malik Heath Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Heath Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 60.4% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Malik Heath has been been lightly used his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of just 2.2% this year, which ranks in the 8th percentile among wideouts.

This year, the strong Detroit Lions defense has conceded a meager 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Detroit's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

More Malik Heath Player Props

Malik Heath ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Heath Receptions
Player Prop Week 13