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Malik Heath

Malik Heath Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Heath Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Green Bay offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the poor Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been torched for a staggering 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 9.24 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Dallas's group of CBs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in football.

Malik Heath has run a route on 17.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 9th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

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