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Malik Heath

Malik Heath Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Malik Heath Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Malik Heath has put up a measly 7.0 air yards per game this year: just 17th percentile among wideouts.
  • Malik Heath has been in just the 12th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a bad 6.1 figure this year.
  • This year, the formidable Eagles defense has yielded a puny 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
  • This year, the formidable Eagles defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a paltry 7.7 yards.

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