My Account Log Out
 
 
Malik Davis

Malik Davis Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Malik Davis Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+610/-800).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Cowboys have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.3 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Malik Davis has compiled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Malik Davis has been not been very involved his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs.
  • The Cowboys O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Malik Davis has been among the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™