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Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+510/-630).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -630.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Mack Hollins's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 66.2% to 85.6%.

The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.57 per game) vs. the Falcons defense this year.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 5th-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5-point favorite in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Mack Hollins has accrued far fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).

More Mack Hollins Player Props

Mack Hollins TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

Mack Hollins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9